English / French · patron
pattern
A model to copy, then a recurrence we think we see.
Etymology
From patron, a model or exemplar. The sense ‘repeated decorative design’ is later. The cognitive sense (apparent recurrence) is later still, and needs a denominator.1
Semantic range
Hits, misses, base rates, selection, priming, source, meaning, claim. A pattern is not yet an argument.
What the gloss loses
Pattern sounds objective. Much of what we call pattern is the work of attention plus memory plus a wish that the world be less noisy.
Misuse
Displaying hits without misses. Letting a cipher decide a conclusion.
How often could this have happened?
Notes
- Frederick Mosteller, “Understanding the Birthday Problem,” The Mathematics Teacher 55, no. 5 (1962): 322–25.
